← EFL League One 2024-25 · Sat, Dec 14, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: T. Parsons
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Peterboro win | 52% | 1.82 |
| Crawley Town win | 25% | 3.91 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.23 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Crawley Town −0.75 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Peterboro −0.75 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 64% | 1.48 |
| Under | 36% | 2.72 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | 🟨 | Ronan Darcy · Crawley Town |
| 20' | ⚽ | Ricky-Jade Jones · Peterboro |
| 23' | ⚽ | Cian Hayes · Peterboro |
| 32' | 🟨 | Joy Mukena · Crawley Town |
| 38' | ⚽ | Ade Adeyemo · Crawley Town |
| 47' | ⚽ | Hector Kyprianou · Peterboro |
| 53' | ⚽ | Will Swan · Crawley Town |
| 55' | ⚽ | Tola Showunmi · Crawley Town |
| 61' | ⚽ | Cian Hayes · Peterboro |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 15 |
| 10 | On target | 7 |
| 6 | Corners | 7 |
| 5 | Fouls | 15 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Peterboro | Crawley Town |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.61 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.45 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| venue | Weston Homes Stadium |
| coach days | 713.00 | 74.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.21 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 2.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.58 | 4.16 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1562.46 | 1481.39 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -34.72 | 29.49 |
| eye test v1 | 0.11 | -0.42 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.22 | 0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.90 | 59.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 2.13 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.61 |
| league points | 21.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 20.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.00 | 76.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.40 | 55.60 |
| rest days | 4.79 | 10.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.17 | 1.06 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 8.80 |
| skill v1 | 1.15 | 0.29 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.20 |
| state index | -0.22 | 0.14 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.06 | 1.01 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.13 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |