← EFL League One 2024-25 · Sat, Dec 14, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Young
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Huddersfield win | 47% | 2.00 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.44 |
| Lincoln win | 25% | 3.99 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lincoln −0.5 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Huddersfield −0.5 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.67 |
| Over | 43% | 2.28 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | ⚽ | Ben House · Lincoln |
| 25' | ⚽ | Bailey Cadamarteri · Lincoln |
| 49' | ⚽ | Brodie Spencer · Huddersfield |
| 59' | 🟨 | Tendayi Darikwa · Lincoln |
| 75' | 🟨 | George Wickens · Lincoln |
| 89' | ⚽ | Callum Marshall · Huddersfield |
| 90' | 🟨 | Nigel Cello Lonwijk · Huddersfield |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 11 | Shots | 9 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 7 |
| 7 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Huddersfield | Lincoln |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.18 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.23 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| venue | John Smith's Stadium |
| coach days | 227.00 | 409.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.19 | 2.33 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1513.85 | 1568.24 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 55.10 | -28.69 |
| eye test v1 | 0.46 | -0.63 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.01 | -0.25 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.90 | 49.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.83 | 0.63 |
| league points | 35.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.20 | 68.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.00 | 48.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.94 | 1.42 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.50 | -0.93 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 25.36 | — |
| state index | 0.76 | -0.46 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.48 | -0.65 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.40 |