← EFL League One 2024-25 · Sat, Dec 14, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: S. Tallis
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Barnsley win | 40% | 2.46 |
| Exeter win | 34% | 2.80 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.78 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Exeter +0.25 | 55% | 1.76 |
| Barnsley +0.25 | 45% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.75 |
| Under | 45% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | 🟨 | Conor McCarthy · Barnsley |
| 13' | ⚽ | Josh Magennis · Exeter |
| 49' | ⚽ | Kelechi Nwakali · Barnsley |
| 58' | ⚽ | Davis Keillor-Dunn · Barnsley |
| 90' | 🟨 | Kyran Lofthouse · Barnsley |
| 90' | 🟨 | Donovan Pines · Barnsley |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 13 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 2 | Corners | 4 |
| 8 | Fouls | 10 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Exeter | Barnsley |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.60 |
| venue | St James Park |
| coach days | 805.00 | 257.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.40 | 2.88 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.21 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.63 |
| elo | 1565.82 | 1530.15 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -41.97 | -32.45 |
| eye test v1 | -1.72 | -0.06 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.07 | -0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.80 | 59.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.73 |
| league points | 24.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.80 | 71.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.80 | 52.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 1.42 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -8.60 | 6.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 14.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.22 | -0.40 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.20 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 4.20 |
| state index | -0.90 | -0.44 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.94 | -0.36 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.16 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.09 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |