← EFL League One 2024-25 · Sat, Dec 7, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Rock
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wycombe win | 53% | 1.80 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.08 |
| Reading win | 22% | 4.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reading −0.75 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Wycombe −0.75 | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.68 |
| Under | 43% | 2.27 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | ⚽ | Beryly Lubala · Wycombe |
| 30' | ⚽ | Harvey Knibbs · Reading |
| 45' | 🟨 | Fred Onyedinma · Wycombe |
| 58' | 🟨 | Joel Pereira · Reading |
| 62' | 🟨 | Beryly Lubala · Wycombe |
| 65' | 🟨 | Sam Smith · Reading |
| 74' | 🟨 | Tyreeq Bakinson · Wycombe |
| 90' | 🟨 | Daniel Harvie · Wycombe |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 11 |
| 3 | On target | 6 |
| 8 | Corners | 5 |
| 11 | Fouls | 10 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Wycombe | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.45 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.43 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| venue | Adams Park |
| coach days | 675.00 | 6.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.21 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.16 | 1.73 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1679.09 | 1506.13 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 47.53 | 29.15 |
| eye test v1 | 0.63 | 0.54 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.36 | 0.31 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.30 | 54.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.73 |
| league points | 39.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 19.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.40 | 76.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.60 | 52.00 |
| rest days | 3.80 | 3.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 2.29 | 1.76 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | -2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.58 | 0.07 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.60 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.60 |
| state index | 1.23 | 0.15 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.16 | 0.08 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.60 |