← EFL League One 2024-25 · Sat, Dec 7, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Chilowicz
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cambridge win | 44% | 2.21 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.40 |
| Shrewsbury win | 28% | 3.54 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cambridge −0.25 | 51% | 1.89 |
| Shrewsbury −0.25 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.70 |
| Over | 43% | 2.23 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1' | ⚽ | Shayne Lavery · Cambridge |
| 30' | ⚽ | Shayne Lavery · Cambridge |
| 46' | ⚽ | Dan N'Lundulu · Cambridge |
| 53' | ⚽ | Elias Kachunga · Cambridge |
| 70' | 🟨 | Vicente Reyes · Cambridge |
| 70' | 🟨 | Jordan Shipley · Shrewsbury |
| 70' | ⚽ (pen) | John Marquis · Shrewsbury |
| 80' | 🟨 | Ryan Loft · Cambridge |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 11 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 11 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cambridge | Shrewsbury |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| venue | Cledara Abbey Stadium |
| coach days | 281.00 | 36.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.46 | 2.55 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1490.76 | 1514.42 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -24.29 | -40.04 |
| eye test v1 | -0.91 | -0.97 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.06 | 0.34 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.10 | 64.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 1.69 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.58 |
| league points | 13.00 | 11.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 64.20 | 61.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 38.40 | 44.40 |
| rest days | 3.79 | 2.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 0.76 | 0.65 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.95 | -1.83 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.80 |
| state index | -0.77 | -0.59 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.31 | -0.90 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |