← EFL League One 2024-25 · Wed, Dec 4, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: M. Corlett
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackpool win | 45% | 2.11 |
| Shrewsbury win | 29% | 3.36 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.72 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackpool +0.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Shrewsbury +0.25 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.80 |
| Under | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | ⚽ | Malvind Benning · Shrewsbury |
| 52' | ⚽ (og) | Aaron Pierre · Blackpool |
| 57' | ⚽ | Joshua Onomah · Blackpool |
| 66' | 🟨 | Aaron Pierre · Shrewsbury |
| 82' | 🟨 | Malvind Benning · Shrewsbury |
| 86' | 🟨 | Alex Gilliead · Shrewsbury |
| 90' | 🟨 | Harry Tyrer · Blackpool |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 7 |
| 2 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 8 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Shrewsbury | Blackpool |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| venue | The Croud Meadow |
| coach days | 33.00 | 94.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.41 | 1.93 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1525.91 | 1533.68 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -43.82 | -4.07 |
| eye test v1 | -0.52 | -0.28 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.14 | -0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.00 | 58.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.69 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.58 | 0.64 |
| league points | 11.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 12.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 64.00 | 72.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.20 | 52.40 |
| rest days | 11.30 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 0.69 | 1.18 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.60 | -0.29 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.80 |
| state index | -0.54 | -0.13 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.99 | -0.14 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |