β EFL League One 2024-25 Β· Tue, Dec 3, 07:45 PM UTC Β· ref: B. Speedie
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wrexham win | 37% | 2.60 |
| Barnsley win | 35% | 2.77 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.57 |
across 3 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wrexham +0 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Barnsley +0 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.81 |
| Under | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 47' | π¨ | Jon Russell Β· Barnsley |
| 72' | π¨ | James McClean Β· Wrexham |
| 72' | π¨ | Corey O'Keeffe Β· Barnsley |
| 75' | π¨ | George Dobson Β· Wrexham |
| 85' | π¨ | Luca Connell Β· Barnsley |
| 86' | π¨ | Matty James Β· Wrexham |
| 90' | β½ | Oliver Rathbone Β· Wrexham |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 10 |
| 7 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 7 | Fouls | 10 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Wrexham | Barnsley |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | β |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| venue | STΕK Cae Ras |
| coach days |
| 1251.00 |
| 246.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | β |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.20 | 4.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 8.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.25 | 3.53 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.67 |
| elo | 1655.11 | 1545.65 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 17.55 | 13.74 |
| eye test v1 | -0.92 | 0.44 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.03 | -0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.00 | 58.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.40 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.55 | β |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.72 |
| league points | 34.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.00 | 72.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.40 | 56.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 1.59 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | 8.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 16.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.54 | -0.05 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 1.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 5.20 |
| state index | 0.74 | 0.42 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.40 | -0.24 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.00 |