← EFL League One 2024-25 · Tue, Dec 3, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: S. Jackson
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stevenage win | 52% | 1.84 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.60 |
| Northampton win | 22% | 4.58 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stevenage −0.5 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Northampton −0.5 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.75 |
| Over | 45% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | 🟨 | Carl Piergianni · Stevenage |
| 2' | 🟨 | Tom Eaves · Northampton |
| 16' | 🟨 | Akinwale Odimayo · Northampton |
| 28' | 🟨 | Tom Eaves · Northampton |
| 28' | 🟥 | Tom Eaves · Northampton |
| 45' | 🟨 | Harvey White · Stevenage |
| 51' | 🟨 | Cameron McGeehan · Northampton |
| 52' | 🟨 | Louis Thompson · Stevenage |
| 89' | ⚽ | Daniel Kemp · Stevenage |
| 90' | ⚽ | Jamie Reid · Stevenage |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 1 |
| 6 | On target | 0 |
| 14 | Corners | 2 |
| 13 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Stevenage | Northampton |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | — |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | — |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | — |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | — |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| venue | Lamex Stadium |
| 246.00 |
| 2.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -4.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 8.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.86 | 2.51 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.38 |
| elo | 1514.18 | 1553.77 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -56.58 | -18.78 |
| eye test v1 | -1.19 | -0.93 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.08 | -0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.80 | 48.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.52 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.67 |
| league points | 19.00 | 18.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 64.60 | 65.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.00 | 43.40 |
| rest days | 10.30 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.19 | 1.06 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | -6.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 9.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.11 | -1.56 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.40 |
| state index | -0.86 | -0.49 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.17 | -0.58 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |