← EFL League One 2024-25 · Tue, Dec 3, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: J. Durkin
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wycombe win | 51% | 1.91 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.77 |
| Exeter win | 24% | 4.12 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wycombe +0.5 | 51% | 1.88 |
| Exeter +0.5 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.84 |
| Under | 47% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | ⚽ | Millenic Alli · Exeter |
| 22' | ⚽ | Jack McMillan · Exeter |
| 27' | ⚽ | Joe Low · Wycombe |
| 54' | ⚽ | Cameron Humphreys · Wycombe |
| 83' | 🟨 | Joe Low · Wycombe |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 6 | Shots | 10 |
| 2 | On target | 6 |
| 6 | Corners | 1 |
| 18 | Fouls | 12 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Exeter | Wycombe |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.47 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| venue | St James Park |
| coach days | 794.00 | 671.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.02 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.10 | 1.76 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.03 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.63 |
| elo | 1573.96 | 1680.42 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -48.67 | 60.41 |
| eye test v1 | -1.60 | 0.52 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.15 | -0.32 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.80 | 56.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 15.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 2.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 2.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.26 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 1.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.82 | — |
| league points | 23.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.80 | 70.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.20 | 49.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.44 | 2.38 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.80 | 4.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.38 | -0.71 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.20 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 5.80 |
| state index | -0.64 | 1.53 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.63 | -0.38 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.17 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.13 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.60 |