← EFL League One 2024-25 · Tue, Nov 26, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: P. Howard
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bolton win | 53% | 1.80 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.85 |
| Cambridge win | 22% | 4.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cambridge +0.75 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Bolton +0.75 | 47% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.90 |
| Under | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | 🟨 | George Thomason · Bolton |
| 44' | 🟨 | Brandon Njoku · Cambridge |
| 49' | 🟥 | Jubril Okedina · Cambridge |
| 54' | 🟨 | Josh Sheehan · Bolton |
| 59' | 🟨 | Korey Smith · Cambridge |
| 60' | ⚽ | Aaron Collins · Bolton |
| 77' | 🟨 | Jordi Osei-Tutu · Bolton |
| 88' | 🟨 | Nathan Baxter · Bolton |
| 89' | ⚽ | Sullay Kaikai · Cambridge |
| 90' | 🟨 | Gethin Jones · Bolton |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 13 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 10 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cambridge | Bolton |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.79 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 3.20 |
| venue | Cledara Abbey Stadium |
| coach days | 270.00 | 1609.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.63 | 4.05 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1505.78 | 1573.72 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 20.87 | 9.28 |
| eye test v1 | -0.63 | -0.17 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.18 | -0.64 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.50 | 61.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 1.69 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 1.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.61 |
| league points | 12.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 63.60 | 75.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.80 | 50.80 |
| rest days | 3.20 | 3.30 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 0.80 | 1.73 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.73 | -0.09 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.40 |
| state index | -0.11 | 0.17 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.93 | -0.05 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |