← EFL League One 2024-25 · Tue, Nov 26, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: E. Bell
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Charlton win | 45% | 2.11 |
| Burton win | 28% | 3.50 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.65 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Charlton +0.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Burton +0.25 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 50% | 1.93 |
| Over | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | 🟨 | Gassan Ahadme · Charlton |
| 32' | 🟨 | Rarmani Edmonds-Green · Charlton |
| 68' | 🟥 | Charlie Webster · Burton |
| 68' | 🟨 | Terry Taylor · Charlton |
| 69' | 🟨 | Tyreece Campbell · Charlton |
| 82' | ⚽ | Conor Coventry · Charlton |
| 89' | 🟨 | Luke Berry · Charlton |
| 90' | 🟨 | Thierry Small · Charlton |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 24 |
| 1 | On target | 11 |
| 3 | Corners | 7 |
| 7 | Fouls | 16 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 6 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Burton | Charlton |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.20 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.75 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| venue | Pirelli Stadium |
| coach days | 148.00 | 299.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.91 | 2.21 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1522.45 | 1470.90 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -25.09 | -4.70 |
| eye test v1 | -0.69 | -0.30 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.06 | 0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.10 | 50.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.73 |
| league points | 8.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 24.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.40 | 67.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.00 | 50.20 |
| rest days | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 0.53 | 1.27 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.87 | -0.94 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.20 |
| state index | -0.40 | -0.57 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.46 | -0.35 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |