← EFL League One 2024-25 · Sat, Nov 23, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: S. Simpson
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Peterboro win | 45% | 2.13 |
| Reading win | 30% | 3.20 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.94 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Peterboro −0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Reading −0.25 | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 65% | 1.47 |
| Under | 35% | 2.76 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | ⚽ | Harvey Knibbs · Reading |
| 23' | ⚽ | Harvey Knibbs · Reading |
| 45' | 🟨 | Tyler Bindon · Reading |
| 48' | 🟨 | Amadou Salif Mbengue · Reading |
| 90' | 🟨 | Emmanuel Fernandez · Peterboro |
| 90' | ⚽ | Emmanuel Fernandez · Peterboro |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 21 | Shots | 17 |
| 6 | On target | 6 |
| 10 | Corners | 2 |
| 5 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Peterboro | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.47 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.60 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.77 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.00 |
| venue | Weston Homes Stadium |
| coach days | 692.00 | 541.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.22 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | -3.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 7.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.80 | 2.13 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1600.32 | 1472.59 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 1.78 | 38.96 |
| eye test v1 | 0.49 | -0.15 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.39 | 0.34 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.60 | 53.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.96 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.61 |
| league points | 21.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 17.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.60 | 73.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.20 | 47.20 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.15 |
| season ppg | 1.40 | 1.64 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | -2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.84 | -0.53 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.40 |
| state index | 0.54 | 0.05 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.97 | -0.20 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.17 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.80 |