← EFL League One 2024-25 · Sat, Nov 23, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: S. Stockbridge
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lincoln win | 36% | 2.73 |
| Wycombe win | 34% | 2.88 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lincoln +0 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Wycombe +0 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.68 |
| Over | 43% | 2.26 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | ⚽ | Tendayi Darikwa · Lincoln |
| 16' | 🟨 | Paudie O’Connor · Lincoln |
| 33' | 🟨 | Caleb Taylor · Wycombe |
| 35' | ⚽ | Richard Kone · Wycombe |
| 39' | 🟨 | Tendayi Darikwa · Lincoln |
| 43' | ⚽ | Fred Onyedinma · Wycombe |
| 72' | ⚽ | Joe Low · Wycombe |
| 76' | 🟨 | George Wickens · Lincoln |
| 79' | 🟨 | Ben House · Lincoln |
| 87' | ⚽ | Tendayi Darikwa · Lincoln |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 14 | Shots | 16 |
| 6 | On target | 6 |
| 4 | Corners | 7 |
| 21 | Fouls | 13 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lincoln | Wycombe |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.55 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.49 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.82 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| venue | LNER Stadium |
| coach days | 388.00 | 661.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.21 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 5.00 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.16 | 2.23 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.65 |
| elo | 1598.95 | 1663.46 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.02 | 65.72 |
| eye test v1 | -0.51 | 0.94 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.05 | 0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 45.90 | 55.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 15.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 2.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.82 |
| league points | 26.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 65.80 | 73.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.80 | 48.20 |
| rest days | 7.10 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.73 | 2.29 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | -1.46 | -0.50 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 6.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 6.60 |
| state index | 0.28 | 1.55 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.87 | -0.54 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.60 |