← EFL League One 2024-25 · Sat, Nov 23, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Corlett
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rotherham win | 43% | 2.22 |
| Crawley Town win | 30% | 3.25 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.65 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rotherham +0.25 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Crawley Town +0.25 | 50% | 1.94 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.91 |
| Under | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | ⚽ | Will Swan · Crawley Town |
| 46' | 🟨 | Max Anderson · Crawley Town |
| 57' | 🟨 | Toby Mullarkey · Crawley Town |
| 60' | 🟨 | Shaun McWilliams · Rotherham |
| 84' | 🟨 | Joseph Wollacott · Crawley Town |
| 90' | 🟨 | Sean Raggett · Rotherham |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 6 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
| 7 | Fouls | 16 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Crawley Town | Rotherham |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| venue | Broadfield Stadium |
| coach days | 53.00 | 236.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.97 | 2.47 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1458.68 | 1539.20 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 19.28 | -14.39 |
| eye test v1 | -0.23 | -0.25 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.28 | -0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.20 | 57.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.29 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.50 | 0.76 |
| league points | 13.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.80 | 67.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.20 | 46.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 14.82 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 0.81 | 1.13 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 0.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.28 | -1.13 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| state index | -0.29 | -0.10 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.76 | -0.88 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.15 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |