← EFL League One 2024-25 · Sat, Nov 23, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: B. Atkinson
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stockport win | 51% | 1.87 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.63 |
| Burton win | 22% | 4.34 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stockport +0.5 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Burton +0.5 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.85 |
| Over | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | 🟨 | Mason Bennett · Burton |
| 24' | 🟨 | Elliot Watt · Burton |
| 30' | ⚽ | Lewis Bate · Stockport |
| 42' | ⚽ | Louie Barry · Stockport |
| 59' | ⚽ | Louie Barry · Stockport |
| 61' | 🟨 | Jack Armer · Burton |
| 61' | 🟨 | Oliver Norwood · Stockport |
| 63' | 🟨 | Fraser Horsfall · Stockport |
| 64' | 🟨 | Kyle Wootton · Stockport |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 6 | Shots | 15 |
| 1 | On target | 10 |
| 2 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 6 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Burton | Stockport |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| venue | Pirelli Stadium |
| coach days | 145.00 | 1118.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.80 | 2.22 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.20 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1537.28 | 1650.64 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -18.54 | -5.40 |
| eye test v1 | -0.37 | 0.32 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.33 | 0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.90 | 55.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.65 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.71 |
| league points | 8.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 24.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.00 | 74.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.80 | 51.40 |
| rest days | 14.10 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 0.57 | 1.69 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.95 | -0.20 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.60 |
| state index | -0.17 | 0.35 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.52 | 0.01 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |