← EFL League One 2024-25 · Sat, Nov 23, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: E. Duckworth
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bolton win | 54% | 1.76 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.00 |
| Blackpool win | 21% | 4.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackpool −0.75 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Bolton −0.75 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.68 |
| Under | 43% | 2.26 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 32' | ⚽ | Kyle Joseph · Blackpool |
| 35' | 🟨 | George Thomason · Bolton |
| 45' | 🟨 | Josh Sheehan · Bolton |
| 50' | 🟨 | Szabolcs Schön · Bolton |
| 52' | 🟨 | Kyle Joseph · Blackpool |
| 53' | ⚽ | George Thomason · Bolton |
| 57' | 🟨 | Oliver Norburn · Blackpool |
| 79' | 🟨 | Zachary Ashworth · Blackpool |
| 85' | 🟨 | George Johnston · Bolton |
| 88' | 🟨 | Lee Evans · Blackpool |
| 90' | 🟨 | Aaron Collins |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 6 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 1 | Corners | 3 |
| 17 | Fouls | 16 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bolton | Blackpool |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.20 |
| venue | Toughsheet Community Stadium |
| 90' | 🟨 | Dominic Ballard · Blackpool |
| 90' | ⚽ | Aaron Collins · Bolton |
| coach days | 1606.00 | 83.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.71 | 2.12 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.24 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1566.68 | 1520.52 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 10.53 | -44.00 |
| eye test v1 | -0.02 | 0.15 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.01 | 0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.40 | 57.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.83 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.64 |
| league points | 23.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.60 | 76.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.20 | 55.00 |
| rest days | 13.90 | 6.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 1.64 | 1.13 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 16.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.03 | 0.27 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.40 |
| state index | 0.20 | -0.79 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.15 | -0.13 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.30 |
| travel km | — | 42.00 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |