← EFL League One 2024-25 · Sat, Nov 16, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: T. Kirk
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stockport win | 47% | 2.05 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.58 |
| Wrexham win | 26% | 3.70 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wrexham −0.5 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Stockport −0.5 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.85 |
| Over | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | 🟨 | Macauley Southam · Stockport |
| 6' | 🟨 | Fraser Horsfall · Stockport |
| 20' | 🟨 | Louie Barry · Stockport |
| 24' | ⚽ | Louie Barry · Stockport |
| 45' | 🟨 | Andy Cannon · Wrexham |
| 63' | 🟨 | Elliot Lee · Wrexham |
| 79' | 🟨 | Oliver Rathbone · Wrexham |
| 90' | 🟨 | Isaac Olaofe · Stockport |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 9 |
| 7 | On target | 1 |
| 9 | Corners | 2 |
| 6 | Fouls | 14 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Stockport | Wrexham |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.17 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| venue | Edgeley Park |
| coach days | 1111.00 | 1234.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.70 | 2.07 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1642.31 | 1643.65 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -18.09 | 20.64 |
| eye test v1 | 0.02 | -0.30 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.30 | -0.39 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.10 | 64.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.65 | 1.35 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.55 | 0.55 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.83 |
| league points | 24.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.80 | 69.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.00 | 45.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | -3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.11 | -1.05 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 1.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.00 |
| state index | 0.26 | 0.60 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.36 | -0.74 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |