← EFL League One 2024-25 · Sat, Nov 9, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: J. Miles
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Burton win | 47% | 2.15 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.56 |
| Shrewsbury win | 25% | 3.96 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Shrewsbury −0.5 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Burton −0.5 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.86 |
| Over | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | ⚽ | Tomas Kalinauskas · Burton |
| 19' | 🟨 | Charlie Webster · Burton |
| 51' | ⚽ | Danilo Orsi-Dadomo · Burton |
| 86' | 🟨 | George Lloyd · Shrewsbury |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 12 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 11 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Burton | Shrewsbury |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.23 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.20 |
| venue | Pirelli Stadium |
| coach days | 131.00 | 8.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.80 | 2.30 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1524.68 | 1528.55 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -48.52 | -25.53 |
| eye test v1 | -0.39 | -0.98 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.33 | 0.36 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.20 | 62.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 1.60 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.61 |
| league points | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| league rank | 24.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since win | 13.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.20 | 70.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.80 | 45.40 |
| rest days | 3.70 | 13.94 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 0.38 | 0.57 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | -1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.68 | -0.97 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.80 |
| state index | -1.18 | -0.49 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.22 | -0.39 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |