β EFL League One 2024-25 Β· Tue, Oct 29, 07:45 PM UTC Β· ref: T. Parsons
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stockport win | 54% | 1.80 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.00 |
| Reading win | 22% | 4.41 |
across 3 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reading β0.75 | 51% | 1.89 |
| Stockport β0.75 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 56% | 1.70 |
| Under | 44% | 2.22 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | β½ | Will Collar Β· Stockport |
| 30' | β½ | Chem Campbell Β· Reading |
| 33' | β½ | Kyle Wootton Β· Stockport |
| 42' | β½ (pen) | Louie Barry Β· Stockport |
| 53' | π¨ | Ibou Touray Β· Stockport |
| 68' | β½ | Louie Barry Β· Stockport |
| 74' | π¨ | Lewis Wing Β· Reading |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 2 |
| 9 | On target | 1 |
| 4 | Corners | 2 |
| 9 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Stockport | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | β |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | β |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | β |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | β |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.80 |
| venue | Edgeley Park |
| coach days | 1093.00 | 516.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | -5.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 9.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.08 | 1.81 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1645.51 | 1476.98 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -10.13 | 57.60 |
| eye test v1 | -0.28 | -0.32 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.50 | -0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.80 | 58.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.57 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.55 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | β | 0.67 |
| league points | 18.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.60 | 74.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.00 | 45.00 |
| rest days | 3.24 | 3.34 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.83 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | -2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.06 | -0.61 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| state index | 0.26 | 0.36 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.33 | -0.41 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |