← EFL League One 2024-25 · Tue, Oct 29, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: C. Brook
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bolton win | 43% | 2.25 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
| Stevenage win | 28% | 3.47 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bolton +0.25 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Stevenage +0.25 | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.78 |
| Over | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | ⚽ | Ricardo Santos · Bolton |
| 16' | ⚽ | John McAtee · Bolton |
| 31' | 🟨 | Josh Sheehan · Bolton |
| 59' | 🟨 | George Johnston · Bolton |
| 61' | ⚽ | Victor Adeboyejo · Bolton |
| 67' | 🟨 | Daniel Phillips · Stevenage |
| 70' | ⚽ | Daniel Kemp · Stevenage |
| 73' | 🟨 | Ricardo Santos · Bolton |
| 78' | 🟨 | Luke Southwood · Bolton |
| 80' | 🟨 | Luther James-Wildin · Stevenage |
| 84' | 🟨 | Dan Butler · Stevenage |
| 88' | ⚽ | Dion Charles · Bolton |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 16 | Shots | 12 |
| 5 | On target | 6 |
| 10 | Corners | 4 |
| 13 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Stevenage | Bolton |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| venue | Lamex Stadium |
| coach days | 211.00 | 1581.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.48 | 3.80 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1536.91 | 1561.39 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -16.36 | 22.70 |
| eye test v1 | -0.28 | 0.54 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.29 | 0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.60 | 60.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 1.78 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.73 |
| league points | 17.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.80 | 79.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.80 | 53.00 |
| rest days | 3.24 | 3.24 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.31 | 1.67 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 6.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 16.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.99 | 0.34 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.40 |
| state index | -0.21 | 0.45 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.30 | -0.29 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |