← EFL League One 2024-25 · Sat, Oct 26, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: S. Gill
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rotherham win | 47% | 2.05 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.34 |
| Stevenage win | 24% | 4.03 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stevenage −0.5 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Rotherham −0.5 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.67 |
| Over | 42% | 2.28 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 25' | 🟨 | Hakeem Odofin · Rotherham |
| 45' | 🟨 | Christ Junior Tiehi · Rotherham |
| 49' | 🟨 | Lewis Freestone · Stevenage |
| 54' | 🟨 | Eli King · Stevenage |
| 70' | ⚽ | Jordan Hugill · Rotherham |
| 72' | ⚽ | Mallik Wilks · Rotherham |
| 90' | 🟨 | Joe Rafferty · Rotherham |
| 90' | 🟨 | Aaron Pressley · Stevenage |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 5 |
| 5 | On target | 1 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 19 | Fouls | 21 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rotherham | Stevenage |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.47 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| venue | AESSEAL New York Stadium |
| coach days | 208.00 | 208.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.36 | 3.41 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1538.80 | 1549.81 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.91 | 2.97 |
| eye test v1 | 0.01 | -0.01 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.37 | 0.68 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.90 | 51.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.69 |
| league points | 14.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.20 | 69.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.80 | 45.60 |
| rest days | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.08 | 1.42 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.73 | -1.01 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.60 |
| state index | -0.07 | 0.10 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.66 | -0.58 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |