← EFL League One 2024-25 · Sat, Oct 26, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: T. Kirk
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Northampton win | 43% | 2.25 |
| Crawley Town win | 29% | 3.34 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.48 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Northampton −0.25 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Crawley Town −0.25 | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.90 |
| Under | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | ⚽ | Tariqe Fosu-Henry · Northampton |
| 29' | ⚽ (og) | Jay Williams · Northampton |
| 55' | ⚽ | Mitchell Pinnock · Northampton |
| 75' | 🟨 | Ronan Darcy · Crawley Town |
| 84' | 🟨 | Ben Fox · Northampton |
| 84' | 🟨 | Jay Williams · Crawley Town |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 13 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 8 | Corners | 9 |
| 10 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Northampton | Crawley Town |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.47 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.47 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.00 |
| venue | Sixfields Stadium |
| coach days |
| 1363.00 |
| 25.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.97 | 3.70 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1562.62 | 1461.83 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -34.37 | -23.14 |
| eye test v1 | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.45 | 0.60 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.80 | 59.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.60 | 0.63 |
| league points | 12.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.00 | 79.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.60 | 56.00 |
| rest days | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.09 | 0.83 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.84 | 0.54 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.60 |
| state index | -0.49 | -0.63 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.44 | 0.59 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |