← EFL League One 2024-25 · Tue, Oct 22, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: J. Miles
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stockport win | 60% | 1.60 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.30 |
| Northampton win | 18% | 5.80 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Northampton −1 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Stockport −1 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.91 |
| Under | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 54' | 🟨 | Akinwale Odimayo · Northampton |
| 56' | 🟨 | Ben Fox · Northampton |
| 64' | 🟨 | Samy Chouchane · Northampton |
| 86' | 🟨 | Cameron McGeehan · Northampton |
| 87' | ⚽ (pen) | Louie Barry · Stockport |
| 90' | 🟨 | Lewis Bate · Stockport |
| 90' | ⚽ | Tyler Magloire · Northampton |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 7 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 1 |
| 6 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Stockport | Northampton |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.44 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.60 |
| venue | Edgeley Park |
| coach days | 1086.00 | 1359.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.22 | 2.01 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1660.40 | 1558.26 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -23.29 | -27.81 |
| eye test v1 | 0.05 | 0.09 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.06 | -0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.00 | 57.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.60 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.57 |
| league points | 17.00 | 11.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.40 | 70.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.20 | 44.80 |
| rest days | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 1.70 | 1.10 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.20 | -1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.29 | -1.01 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.00 |
| state index | 0.28 | -0.27 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.14 | -0.50 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |