← EFL League One 2024-25 · Tue, Oct 22, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: A. Bannister
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wycombe win | 50% | 1.91 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.72 |
| Burton win | 23% | 4.19 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wycombe +0.5 | 51% | 1.88 |
| Burton +0.5 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.81 |
| Under | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | 🟨 | Ryan Sweeney · Burton |
| 12' | 🟨 | Josh Scowen · Wycombe |
| 16' | ⚽ | Gideon Kodua · Wycombe |
| 34' | ⚽ | Danilo Orsi-Dadomo · Burton |
| 49' | 🟨 | Gideon Kodua · Wycombe |
| 52' | 🟨 | Caleb Taylor · Wycombe |
| 53' | ⚽ | Luke Leahy · Wycombe |
| 63' | ⚽ | Charlie Webster · Burton |
| 80' | 🟨 | Fred Onyedinma · Wycombe |
| 81' | ⚽ | Daniel Udoh · Wycombe |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 14 |
| 2 | On target | 5 |
| 5 | Corners | 6 |
| 10 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Burton | Wycombe |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.45 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.60 |
| venue | Pirelli Stadium |
| coach days |
| 113.00 |
| 629.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.88 | 2.80 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.62 |
| elo | 1547.54 | 1610.08 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -76.82 | 36.13 |
| eye test v1 | -0.43 | 0.35 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.23 | 0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.89 | 53.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 0.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.47 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| league points | 4.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 24.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 10.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.60 | 74.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.00 | 52.00 |
| rest days | 3.20 | 3.30 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 0.40 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.40 | 5.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 14.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.22 | -0.14 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.56 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.20 |
| state index | -1.35 | 0.75 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.86 | -0.23 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |