← EFL League One 2024-25 · Tue, Oct 22, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: L. Smith
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Barnsley win | 43% | 2.23 |
| Charlton win | 29% | 3.40 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Barnsley −0.25 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Charlton −0.25 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.84 |
| Over | 47% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | 🟨 | Rarmani Edmonds-Green · Charlton |
| 22' | 🟨 | Marc Roberts · Barnsley |
| 34' | ⚽ | Davis Keillor-Dunn · Barnsley |
| 70' | 🟨 | Josh Earl · Barnsley |
| 71' | 🟨 | Luca Connell · Barnsley |
| 77' | ⚽ | Luke Berry · Charlton |
| 90' | ⚽ | Luke Berry · Charlton |
| 90' | ⚽ | Max Watters · Barnsley |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 20 | Shots | 8 |
| 9 | On target | 5 |
| 11 | Corners | 5 |
| 14 | Fouls | 9 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Barnsley | Charlton |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| venue | Oakwell |
| coach days |
| 204.00 |
| 264.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 6.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.04 | 2.94 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1535.13 | 1479.14 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 9.82 | -8.20 |
| eye test v1 | -0.32 | -0.65 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.43 | -0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 48.10 | 53.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.73 |
| league points | 18.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.00 | 70.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.80 | 50.40 |
| rest days | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.64 | 1.55 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | -1.07 | -0.65 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.60 |
| state index | 0.05 | -0.23 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.90 | 0.14 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |