← EFL League One 2024-25 · Sat, Oct 19, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: O. Mackey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leyton Orient win | 41% | 2.32 |
| Northampton win | 30% | 3.25 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.33 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Northampton +0.25 | 52% | 1.89 |
| Leyton Orient +0.25 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.74 |
| Over | 45% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | 🟨 | Ethan Galbraith · Leyton Orient |
| 35' | 🟨 | Daniel Agyei · Leyton Orient |
| 48' | ⚽ | Cameron McGeehan · Northampton |
| 55' | 🟨 | Jack Baldwin · Northampton |
| 56' | 🟨 | Thomas James · Leyton Orient |
| 84' | 🟨 | Mitchell Pinnock · Northampton |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jon Guthrie · Northampton |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 5 |
| 1 | On target | 1 |
| 0 | Corners | 4 |
| 8 | Fouls | 14 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Northampton | Leyton Orient |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.46 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.54 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.75 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| venue | Sixfields Stadium |
| coach days | 1356.00 | 963.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.01 | 2.67 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1549.76 | 1557.25 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -49.04 | 8.24 |
| eye test v1 | 0.38 | -0.25 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.28 | -0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.40 | 57.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.56 | — |
| league points | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.80 | 71.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.00 | 51.60 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 0.89 | 0.80 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | 1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.79 | -0.46 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.00 |
| state index | -0.78 | 0.03 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.21 | -0.02 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |