← EFL League One 2024-25 · Sat, Oct 19, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: R. Ricardo
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wigan win | 43% | 2.24 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.25 |
| Cambridge win | 28% | 3.51 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wigan +0.25 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Cambridge +0.25 | 49% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.67 |
| Over | 43% | 2.27 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | ⚽ | Elias Kachunga · Cambridge |
| 22' | ⚽ (og) | Sam Tickle · Cambridge |
| 47' | 🟨 | Danny Andrew · Cambridge |
| 61' | 🟨 | Liam Bennett · Cambridge |
| 73' | 🟨 | Scott Smith · Wigan |
| 74' | 🟨 | Elias Kachunga · Cambridge |
| 83' | 🟨 | K'Marni Miller · Wigan |
| 85' | 🟨 | Vicente Reyes · Cambridge |
| 86' | 🟨 | Korey Smith · Cambridge |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 7 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 0 | Corners | 4 |
| 17 | Fouls | 20 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cambridge | Wigan |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.43 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| venue | Cledara Abbey Stadium |
| coach days | 232.00 | 657.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.26 | 2.21 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.00 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1470.39 | 1519.31 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -40.25 | 32.12 |
| eye test v1 | -0.65 | -0.70 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.50 | 0.57 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.80 | 54.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.45 | 1.45 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.85 |
| league points | 1.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 24.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 9.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 65.60 | 82.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.20 | 51.60 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | — |
| season ppg | 0.11 | 1.30 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 8.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.32 | 0.59 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 2.56 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.80 |
| state index | -1.04 | 0.28 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.50 | 0.93 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |