← EFL League One 2024-25 · Sat, Oct 19, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: E. Duckworth
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reading win | 56% | 1.70 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.19 |
| Crawley Town win | 21% | 4.69 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reading −0.75 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Crawley Town −0.75 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.63 |
| Under | 40% | 2.36 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | ⚽ | Amadou Salif Mbengue · Reading |
| 30' | ⚽ | Harry Forster · Crawley Town |
| 36' | 🟨 | Max Anderson · Crawley Town |
| 40' | ⚽ | Lewis Wing · Reading |
| 65' | ⚽ | Charlie Savage · Reading |
| 73' | ⚽ | Sam Smith · Reading |
| 78' | 🟨 | Amadou Salif Mbengue · Reading |
| 87' | 🟨 | Panutche Camará · Crawley Town |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 18 |
| 6 | On target | 8 |
| 2 | Corners | 13 |
| 21 | Fouls | 6 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Reading | Crawley Town |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.46 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 3.60 |
| venue | Select Car Leasing Stadium |
| coach days | 506.00 | 18.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.80 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.89 | 2.42 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.19 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1433.63 | 1454.96 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.45 | -51.92 |
| eye test v1 | -0.41 | 0.05 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.27 | 0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.44 | 59.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | — |
| league points | 13.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.20 | 82.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.80 | 60.00 |
| rest days | 13.90 | 6.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.43 |
| season ppg | 1.44 | 0.70 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | 0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.08 | 1.07 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.78 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| state index | -0.21 | -1.22 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.15 | 0.99 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.80 |