← EFL League One 2024-25 · Sat, Oct 12, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: E. Bell
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rotherham win | 39% | 2.50 |
| Peterboro win | 35% | 2.78 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.69 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rotherham +0 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Peterboro +0 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 56% | 1.70 |
| Under | 44% | 2.22 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | ⚽ | James Dornelly · Peterboro |
| 19' | ⚽ | Sam Nombe · Rotherham |
| 22' | 🟨 | Oscar Wallin · Peterboro |
| 23' | ⚽ | Mallik Wilks · Rotherham |
| 32' | 🟨 | James Dornelly · Peterboro |
| 35' | 🟨 | Mallik Wilks · Rotherham |
| 45' | ⚽ | Jonson Clarke-Harris · Rotherham |
| 48' | 🟨 | Joel Randall · Peterboro |
| 50' | ⚽ (og) | Joe Rafferty · Peterboro |
| 53' | ⚽ | Emmanuel Fernandez · Peterboro |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 3 |
| 13 | Shots | 11 |
| 6 | On target | 6 |
| 8 | Corners | 3 |
| 9 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Peterboro | Rotherham |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.23 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.00 |
| venue | Weston Homes Stadium |
| coach days | 650.00 | 194.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.33 | 4.31 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1598.54 | 1553.59 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -15.60 | -0.48 |
| eye test v1 | -0.29 | -0.82 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.14 | -0.21 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 48.00 | 67.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.05 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.53 | 0.81 |
| league points | 14.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 12.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.00 | 67.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.60 | 47.40 |
| rest days | 7.10 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.42 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.40 | 1.30 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.20 | 2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.76 | -1.06 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.22 | 3.78 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| state index | -0.21 | 0.02 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.20 | -0.59 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |