← EFL League One 2024-25 · Sat, Oct 12, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: R. Ricardo
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Crawley Town win | 43% | 2.25 |
| Shrewsbury win | 29% | 3.28 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.65 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Crawley Town −0.25 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Shrewsbury −0.25 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 50% | 1.93 |
| Over | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | ⚽ | John Marquis · Shrewsbury |
| 27' | 🟨 | Josh Feeney · Shrewsbury |
| 33' | ⚽ | Will Swan · Crawley Town |
| 37' | 🟨 | Funso Ojo · Shrewsbury |
| 43' | 🟨 | John Marquis · Shrewsbury |
| 44' | 🟨 | Jay Williams · Crawley Town |
| 53' | 🟨 | Josh Flint · Crawley Town |
| 56' | 🟨 | Josh Flint · Crawley Town |
| 56' | 🟥 | Josh Flint · Crawley Town |
| 62' | ⚽ | Junior Quitirna · Crawley Town |
| 72' | ⚽ | Toto Nsiala |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 18 |
| 5 | On target | 6 |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 10 | Fouls | 15 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Crawley Town | Shrewsbury |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.18 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.23 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.80 |
| venue | Broadfield Stadium |
| 75' | 🟨 | Toby Mullarkey · Crawley Town |
| 76' | ⚽ (pen) | John Marquis · Shrewsbury |
| 77' | 🟨 | Taylor Perry · Shrewsbury |
| 86' | ⚽ | George Lloyd · Shrewsbury |
| 90' | 🟨 | Joy Mukena · Crawley Town |
| 90' | ⚽ | George Lloyd · Shrewsbury |
| 90' | ⚽ | Jeremy Kelly · Crawley Town |
| coach days | 11.00 | 285.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.37 | 2.17 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1468.79 | 1555.89 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -34.67 | -36.59 |
| eye test v1 | -0.13 | -1.27 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.01 | -0.37 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.10 | 60.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.55 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.65 |
| league points | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.60 | 69.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 61.40 | 45.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 0.78 | 0.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 9.00 |
| skill v1 | 1.22 | -0.99 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.20 |
| state index | -0.94 | -0.82 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.26 | -0.17 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.17 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |