← EFL League One 2024-25 · Sat, Oct 5, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: N. Hair
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wycombe win | 60% | 1.61 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.25 |
| Crawley Town win | 17% | 5.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Crawley Town −1 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Wycombe −1 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 56% | 1.70 |
| Under | 44% | 2.22 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | 🟨 | Bradley Ibrahim · Crawley Town |
| 23' | ⚽ | Fred Onyedinma · Wycombe |
| 28' | 🟨 | Harry Forster · Crawley Town |
| 83' | 🟨 | Panutche Camará · Crawley Town |
| 86' | 🟨 | Jay Williams · Crawley Town |
| 88' | 🟨 | Josh Flint · Crawley Town |
| 90' | 🟨 | Joe Low · Wycombe |
| 90' | 🟨 | Tola Showunmi · Crawley Town |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 8 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 2 |
| 14 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 6 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Wycombe | Crawley Town |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.42 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.40 |
| venue | Adams Park |
| coach days | 612.00 | 4.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 7.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.98 | 2.02 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.21 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1592.46 | 1474.07 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 31.94 | -50.75 |
| eye test v1 | 0.22 | -0.42 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.00 | 0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.43 | 60.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.67 |
| league points | 14.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 10.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.80 | 83.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.40 | 64.80 |
| rest days | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | — |
| season ppg | 1.75 | 0.88 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | -0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.29 | 1.47 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.29 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.20 |
| state index | 0.56 | -1.21 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.10 | 1.67 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.16 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |