← EFL League One 2024-25 · Sat, Oct 5, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Eltringham
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wrexham win | 62% | 1.54 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.32 |
| Northampton win | 16% | 6.08 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wrexham −1 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Northampton −1 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.81 |
| Under | 46% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ | James McClean · Wrexham |
| 27' | ⚽ | Cameron McGeehan · Northampton |
| 29' | 🟨 | James McClean · Wrexham |
| 31' | 🟨 | Jack Sowerby · Northampton |
| 38' | ⚽ | Jack Marriott · Wrexham |
| 56' | ⚽ | Elliot Lee · Wrexham |
| 67' | ⚽ | James McClean · Wrexham |
| 75' | 🟨 | Sam Hoskins · Northampton |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 14 |
| 8 | On target | 6 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 12 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Wrexham | Northampton |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.54 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.57 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.80 |
| venue | STōK Cae Ras |
| coach days |
| 1192.00 |
| 1342.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.20 | 2.69 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1623.01 | 1561.38 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -11.03 | -38.47 |
| eye test v1 | -0.72 | 0.25 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.55 | 0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.60 | 56.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.81 | 0.57 |
| league points | 17.00 | 8.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.60 | 69.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.40 | 48.60 |
| rest days | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.89 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 9.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.67 | -0.86 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.20 |
| state index | 0.29 | -0.36 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.06 | 0.08 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.00 |