← EFL League One 2024-25 · Sat, Oct 5, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: L. Swabey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackpool win | 43% | 2.25 |
| Mansfield win | 32% | 3.02 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.80 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mansfield +0.25 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Blackpool +0.25 | 50% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.67 |
| Under | 43% | 2.28 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ | Will Evans · Mansfield |
| 17' | 🟨 | Louis Reed · Mansfield |
| 29' | 🟨 | Stephen McLaughlin · Mansfield |
| 39' | ⚽ | Will Evans · Mansfield |
| 45' | 🟨 | Adedeji Oshilaja · Mansfield |
| 67' | 🟨 | Kyle Joseph · Blackpool |
| 81' | 🟨 | Aaron Lewis · Mansfield |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 9 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 10 | Corners | 3 |
| 12 | Fouls | 8 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mansfield | Blackpool |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| venue | One Call Stadium |
| coach days | 1434.00 | 34.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 7.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.59 | 3.73 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1653.23 | 1573.81 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 40.47 | 49.77 |
| eye test v1 | -0.25 | 0.41 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.06 | -0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.60 | 57.56 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 1.15 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.80 |
| league points | 17.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 14.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.20 | 78.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.80 | 53.20 |
| rest days | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 2.13 | 1.67 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.80 | 2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.87 | 0.32 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 5.22 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.20 |
| state index | 0.84 | 0.65 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.42 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |