← EFL League One 2024-25 · Sat, Oct 5, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Bourne
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bolton win | 67% | 1.44 |
| Draw | 20% | 5.00 |
| Shrewsbury win | 13% | 8.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Shrewsbury −1.25 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Bolton −1.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 56% | 1.71 |
| Under | 44% | 2.19 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | 🟨 | Aaron Pierre · Shrewsbury |
| 20' | ⚽ | Josh Feeney · Shrewsbury |
| 28' | ⚽ | Jordan Shipley · Shrewsbury |
| 34' | 🟨 | Josh Feeney · Shrewsbury |
| 47' | ⚽ | Kyle Dempsey · Bolton |
| 61' | ⚽ | Szabolcs Schön · Bolton |
| 66' | 🟨 | Toby Savin · Shrewsbury |
| 78' | 🟨 | Funso Ojo · Shrewsbury |
| 78' | 🟨 | Alex Gilliead · Shrewsbury |
| 90' | 🟨 | Morgan Feeney · Shrewsbury |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 19 | Shots | 7 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 8 | Corners | 3 |
| 8 | Fouls | 13 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bolton | Shrewsbury |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.47 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.24 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.60 |
| venue | Toughsheet Community Stadium |
| coach days | 1557.00 | 278.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.87 | 3.66 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1557.97 | 1554.08 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 1.94 | -51.55 |
| eye test v1 | 0.25 | -1.14 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.46 | -0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.80 | 61.78 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.93 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.63 |
| league points | 13.00 | 4.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.80 | 72.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.40 | 48.40 |
| rest days | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.63 | 0.44 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | -2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 9.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.34 | -0.59 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.67 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.40 |
| state index | -0.01 | -0.91 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.52 | 0.13 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |