← EFL League One 2024-25 · Tue, Oct 1, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: A. Davies
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wigan win | 46% | 2.15 |
| Peterboro win | 27% | 3.58 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.56 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wigan −0.25 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Peterboro −0.25 | 46% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.83 |
| Under | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | ⚽ | Dale Taylor · Wigan |
| 23' | 🟨 | Hector Kyprianou · Peterboro |
| 25' | 🟨 | Sam Curtis · Peterboro |
| 49' | ⚽ | Dale Taylor · Wigan |
| 56' | 🟨 | Babajide Adeeko · Wigan |
| 59' | 🟨 | James Dornelly · Peterboro |
| 65' | 🟨 | Silko Thomas · Wigan |
| 71' | 🟨 | Emmanuel Fernandez · Peterboro |
| 81' | ⚽ | Callum McManaman · Wigan |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jason Kerr · Wigan |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 11 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 8 |
| 21 | Fouls | 9 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Wigan | Peterboro |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.53 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.44 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| venue | The Brick Community Stadium |
| coach days | 639.00 | 639.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.21 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.01 | 2.58 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.39 |
| elo | 1493.40 | 1611.39 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 27.92 | -23.18 |
| eye test v1 | -0.75 | -0.17 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.28 | -0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.86 | 51.14 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.29 | 1.55 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.81 | 0.50 |
| league points | 9.00 | 11.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.60 | 80.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.40 | 54.60 |
| rest days | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 1.13 | 1.38 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | -4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 7.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.21 | 0.56 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.57 | 4.57 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.80 |
| state index | 0.18 | -0.18 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.30 | 1.01 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.13 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.16 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |