← EFL League One 2024-25 · Tue, Oct 1, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: W. Finnie
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stevenage win | 38% | 2.60 |
| Wrexham win | 32% | 3.11 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.25 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wrexham −0.25 | 55% | 1.77 |
| Stevenage −0.25 | 45% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.58 |
| Over | 39% | 2.47 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | ⚽ | Louis Thompson · Stevenage |
| 27' | 🟨 | Dan Butler · Stevenage |
| 39' | 🟨 | Thomas O'Connor · Wrexham |
| 68' | 🟨 | Andy Cannon · Wrexham |
| 88' | 🟨 | Jordan Roberts · Stevenage |
| 90' | 🟨 | Eoghan O'Connell · Wrexham |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 7 |
| 3 | On target | 1 |
| 2 | Corners | 3 |
| 11 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Stevenage | Wrexham |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.14 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.40 |
| venue | Lamex Stadium |
| coach days | 183.00 | 1188.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.00 | 2.22 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1553.27 | 1633.60 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -0.45 | 17.91 |
| eye test v1 | -1.50 | -0.43 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.31 | -0.52 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.90 | 63.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.55 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.83 |
| league points | 11.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 66.00 | 72.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.40 | 40.40 |
| rest days | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.60 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.38 | 2.13 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.40 | -1.09 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 3.40 |
| state index | 0.30 | 0.53 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.55 | -0.79 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.60 |