← EFL League One 2024-25 · Tue, Oct 1, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: D. Middleton
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stockport win | 47% | 2.05 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
| Shrewsbury win | 26% | 3.73 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Shrewsbury +0.5 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Stockport +0.5 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.86 |
| Over | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 44' | ⚽ | Ethan Pye · Stockport |
| 45' | 🟨 | Morgan Feeney · Shrewsbury |
| 48' | 🟨 | Ethan Pye · Stockport |
| 62' | 🟨 | Fraser Horsfall · Stockport |
| 64' | 🟨 | Tayo Adaramola · Stockport |
| 66' | 🟨 | Leo Castledine · Shrewsbury |
| 78' | 🟨 | Callum Camps · Stockport |
| 82' | 🟨 | Callum Connolly · Stockport |
| 86' | ⚽ | Kyle Wootton · Stockport |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 7 | Shots | 12 |
| 0 | On target | 8 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 10 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 6 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Shrewsbury | Stockport |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.00 |
| venue | The Croud Meadow |
| coach days | 274.00 | 1065.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.81 | 1.96 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.63 |
| elo | 1567.88 | 1655.64 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -25.15 | -21.19 |
| eye test v1 | -0.72 | 0.25 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.01 | -0.26 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.38 | 55.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 1.45 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.55 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.59 | — |
| league points | 4.00 | 12.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 67.60 | 76.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.60 | 54.20 |
| rest days | 3.20 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.44 |
| season ppg | 0.50 | 1.71 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 6.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 15.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.31 | 0.22 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.80 |
| state index | -0.37 | 0.07 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.60 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |