← EFL League One 2024-25 · Tue, Oct 1, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: R. Ricardo
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leyton Orient win | 48% | 2.00 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.51 |
| Exeter win | 25% | 3.95 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Exeter −0.5 | 51% | 1.89 |
| Leyton Orient −0.5 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.79 |
| Over | 46% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 40' | ⚽ | Amani Richards · Exeter |
| 44' | 🟨 | Ilmari Niskanen · Exeter |
| 48' | 🟨 | Jack McMillan · Exeter |
| 53' | 🟨 | Dominic Ball · Leyton Orient |
| 77' | 🟨 | Jordan Brown · Leyton Orient |
| 89' | 🟨 | Pierce Sweeney · Exeter |
| 90' | 🟥 | Caleb Watts · Exeter |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 9 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 11 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Leyton Orient | Exeter |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.16 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.19 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.60 |
| venue | Gaughan Group Stadium |
| coach days | 945.00 | 731.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 7.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.54 | 2.92 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1574.97 | 1608.02 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 21.93 | 3.12 |
| eye test v1 | -0.73 | -1.14 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.43 | -0.27 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.50 | 60.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.52 | 0.74 |
| league points | 8.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.60 | 80.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.20 | 51.60 |
| rest days | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.43 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -5.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.61 | 0.37 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| state index | 0.03 | 0.14 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.03 | 0.66 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |