β EFL League One 2024-25 Β· Tue, Oct 1, 06:45 PM UTC Β· ref: R. Joyce
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Barnsley win | 42% | 2.25 |
| Wycombe win | 30% | 3.20 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.62 |
across 3 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wycombe β0.25 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Barnsley β0.25 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.81 |
| Under | 46% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 47' | β½ | Beryly Lubala Β· Wycombe |
| 58' | β½ | Stephen Humphrys Β· Barnsley |
| 63' | π¨ | Fabio JalΓ³ Β· Barnsley |
| 75' | π¨ | Caleb Taylor Β· Wycombe |
| 78' | π¨ | Joe Low Β· Wycombe |
| 85' | β½ | Richard Kone Β· Wycombe |
| 89' | β½ | Marc Roberts Β· Barnsley |
| 90' | π¨ | Richard Kone Β· Wycombe |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 13 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 14 | Corners | 7 |
| 11 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Barnsley | Wycombe |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.45 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.47 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | β | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.80 |
| venue | Oakwell |
| coach days |
| 183.00 |
| 608.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | β | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | β | 2.98 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1541.24 | 1592.20 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 34.19 | 44.78 |
| eye test v1 | 0.29 | 0.02 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.05 | 0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 42.86 | 49.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | β | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | β | 1.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | β | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.82 |
| league points | 14.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.60 | 70.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.40 | 48.60 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.75 | 1.86 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.98 | -0.73 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.57 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.60 |
| state index | 0.44 | 0.77 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.61 | -0.48 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | β | 2.00 |