β EFL League One 2024-25 Β· Sat, Sep 28, 06:45 PM UTC Β· ref: D. Bourne
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Barnsley win | 42% | 2.30 |
| Stockport win | 31% | 3.06 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
across 3 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stockport β0.25 | 51% | 1.88 |
| Barnsley β0.25 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.79 |
| Under | 46% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | β½ (pen) | Adam Phillips Β· Barnsley |
| 18' | π¨ | MaΓ«l de Gevigney Β· Barnsley |
| 19' | π¨ | Tyler Onyango Β· Stockport |
| 74' | π¨ | Luca Connell Β· Barnsley |
| 85' | π¨ | Josh Benson Β· Barnsley |
| 90' | β½ | Louie Barry Β· Stockport |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 15 |
| 5 | On target | 6 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 11 | Fouls | 10 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Barnsley | Stockport |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.45 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.56 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | β | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |
| venue | Oakwell |
| coach days |
| 180.00 |
| 1062.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | β | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | β | 2.12 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.62 |
| elo | 1539.59 | 1657.29 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 33.54 | -5.29 |
| eye test v1 | 0.08 | 0.32 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.12 | -0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 40.50 | 57.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | β | 1.40 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | β | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | β | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.63 |
| league points | 13.00 | 11.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.20 | 77.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.60 | 52.60 |
| rest days | 7.20 | 7.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.86 | 1.83 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 14.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.09 | 0.14 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.80 |
| state index | 0.54 | 0.40 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.47 | -0.15 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | β | 1.60 |