← EFL League One 2024-25 · Sat, Sep 28, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: S. Purkiss
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rotherham win | 46% | 2.08 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
| Shrewsbury win | 25% | 3.81 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rotherham +0.25 | 54% | 1.78 |
| Shrewsbury +0.25 | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.80 |
| Over | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | ⚽ | George Lloyd · Shrewsbury |
| 25' | 🟨 | Reece James · Rotherham |
| 33' | 🟨 | Mallik Wilks · Rotherham |
| 69' | 🟨 | Malvind Benning · Shrewsbury |
| 70' | ⚽ (pen) | Jonson Clarke-Harris · Rotherham |
| 88' | 🟨 | Morgan Feeney · Shrewsbury |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 4 | Shots | 12 |
| 1 | On target | 1 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 17 | Fouls | 7 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Shrewsbury | Rotherham |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| venue | The Croud Meadow |
| coach days | 271.00 | 180.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 4.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 8.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.80 | 4.37 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1570.56 | 1535.21 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -36.68 | -27.90 |
| eye test v1 | -0.48 | -0.03 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.07 | -0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.71 | 68.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.10 |
| league points | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 65.80 | 68.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.40 | 43.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | — |
| season ppg | 0.43 | 0.86 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | -1.68 | -1.27 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.29 | 4.17 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.60 |
| state index | -0.34 | -0.32 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.16 | -1.21 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |