← EFL League One 2024-25 · Sat, Sep 21, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Whitestone
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Barnsley win | 52% | 1.85 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.12 |
| Burton win | 23% | 4.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Burton +0.75 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Barnsley +0.75 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.60 |
| Under | 40% | 2.42 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | 🟨 | Josh Earl · Barnsley |
| 20' | 🟨 | Maël de Gevigney · Barnsley |
| 36' | ⚽ | Luca Connell · Barnsley |
| 67' | 🟨 | Terence Vancooten · Burton |
| 88' | ⚽ | Jack Cooper-Love · Burton |
| 90' | 🟨 | Nicholas Akoto · Burton |
| 90' | ⚽ | Stephen Humphrys · Barnsley |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 8 | Shots | 13 |
| 3 | On target | 6 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 6 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Burton | Barnsley |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.52 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.45 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.40 |
| venue | Pirelli Stadium |
| 82.00 |
| 173.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | — |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.20 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 8.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.49 | — |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1624.36 | 1525.31 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -14.55 | 33.49 |
| eye test v1 | -0.46 | -0.04 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.34 | 0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.20 | 36.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | — |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | — |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.68 |
| league points | 4.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.00 | 70.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.40 | 48.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.43 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 0.80 | 1.67 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.11 | -0.73 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| state index | -0.03 | 0.32 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.22 | -0.21 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | — |