← EFL League One 2024-25 · Sat, Sep 21, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: S. Stockbridge
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bolton win | 51% | 1.85 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.75 |
| Reading win | 22% | 4.23 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bolton −0.5 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Reading −0.5 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.81 |
| Under | 46% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | 🟨 | Lewis Wing · Reading |
| 12' | ⚽ | Josh Sheehan · Bolton |
| 16' | 🟨 | Ricardo Santos · Bolton |
| 21' | ⚽ (pen) | Dion Charles · Bolton |
| 34' | ⚽ | Dion Charles · Bolton |
| 41' | ⚽ | Ben Elliott · Reading |
| 45' | ⚽ (pen) | Dion Charles · Bolton |
| 57' | ⚽ (pen) | Sam Smith · Reading |
| 71' | 🟨 | Harvey Knibbs · Reading |
| 81' | 🟨 | Nathan Baxter · Bolton |
| 87' | ⚽ | Kyle Dempsey · Bolton |
| 88' | 🟨 | Randell Williams · Bolton |
| 90' | 🟨 | Scott Arfield · Bolton |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 4 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 18 | Shots | 18 |
| 8 | On target | 6 |
| 6 | Corners | 7 |
| 20 | Fouls | 12 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bolton | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| venue | Toughsheet Community Stadium |
| coach days | 1543.00 | 478.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.80 | 2.36 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1533.28 | 1478.76 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -60.88 | -1.24 |
| eye test v1 | -0.30 | -0.05 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.83 | -0.64 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.90 | 63.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.70 |
| league points | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.80 | 75.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 59.60 | 50.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.67 | -0.15 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.50 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| squad age | — | 31.41 |
| state index | -0.78 | -0.06 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.98 | -0.34 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.28 |
| travel km | — | 262.00 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |