← EFL League One 2024-25 · Sat, Sep 14, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: J. Miles
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Barnsley win | 38% | 2.60 |
| Stevenage win | 33% | 2.89 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.49 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Barnsley +0 | 54% | 1.79 |
| Stevenage +0 | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.91 |
| Over | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 54' | ⚽ | Elliott List · Stevenage |
| 59' | ⚽ | Carl Piergianni · Stevenage |
| 61' | 🟨 | Harvey White · Stevenage |
| 64' | 🟨 | Maël de Gevigney · Barnsley |
| 78' | 🟨 | Daniel Phillips · Stevenage |
| 79' | 🟨 | Corey O'Keeffe · Barnsley |
| 82' | 🟨 | Lewis Freestone · Stevenage |
| 86' | 🟨 | Louis Thompson · Stevenage |
| 89' | ⚽ | Elliott List · Stevenage |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 8 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 7 | Corners | 10 |
| 18 | Fouls | 14 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Stevenage | Barnsley |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | — |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.52 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.44 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.20 |
| venue | Lamex Stadium |
| coach days |
| 166.00 |
| 166.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | — |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.21 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.34 | — |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | — |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.65 |
| elo | 1543.10 | 1539.65 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -0.78 | 39.65 |
| eye test v1 | -0.90 | -0.01 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.12 | — |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.80 | 34.25 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | — |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | — |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.72 |
| league points | 4.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 62.20 | 69.75 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.00 | 46.00 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | -1.52 | -0.95 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.75 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | — |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.25 |
| state index | 0.28 | 0.68 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.35 | -0.56 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | — |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | — |