← EFL League One 2024-25 · Sat, Sep 14, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: J. Linington
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stockport win | 55% | 1.76 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.06 |
| Crawley Town win | 21% | 4.60 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Crawley Town +0.75 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Stockport +0.75 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.69 |
| Under | 43% | 2.24 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Louie Barry · Stockport |
| 14' | 🟨 | Max Anderson · Crawley Town |
| 36' | 🟨 | Jay Williams · Crawley Town |
| 40' | 🟨 | Tyler Onyango · Stockport |
| 65' | 🟨 | Oliver Norwood · Stockport |
| 68' | ⚽ (pen) | Junior Quitirna · Crawley Town |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 11 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 6 |
| 12 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Crawley Town | Stockport |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| venue | Broadfield Stadium |
| coach days | 13.00 | 1048.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.02 | 2.35 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.62 |
| elo | 1503.46 | 1687.10 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.28 | 22.16 |
| eye test v1 | -0.41 | 0.34 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.81 | 0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.90 | 55.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.18 | 1.27 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.72 |
| league points | 6.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.40 | 79.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 60.80 | 56.00 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 2.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 5.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | 1.07 | 0.54 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| state index | -0.24 | 1.00 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.45 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.13 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |