← EFL League One 2024-25 · Sat, Sep 14, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: R. Joyce
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackpool win | 57% | 1.68 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.18 |
| Exeter win | 19% | 5.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackpool −0.75 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Exeter −0.75 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.74 |
| Under | 45% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | 🟨 | Odeluga Offiah · Blackpool |
| 19' | ⚽ | CJ Hamilton · Blackpool |
| 21' | 🟨 | Oliver Norburn · Blackpool |
| 57' | 🟨 | Ryan Woods · Exeter |
| 58' | 🟨 | Kyle Joseph · Blackpool |
| 70' | 🟨 | Ilmari Niskanen · Exeter |
| 75' | 🟨 | Jordan Lawrence-Gabriel · Blackpool |
| 81' | 🟨 | Tristan Crama · Exeter |
| 85' | 🟨 | Lee Evans · Blackpool |
| 85' | 🟨 | Jack Aitchison · Exeter |
| 87' | 🟨 | Jordan Rhodes |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 11 |
| 7 | On target | 3 |
| 11 | Corners | 5 |
| 12 | Fouls | 20 |
| 7 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Blackpool | Exeter |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | — | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.20 |
| venue | Bloomfield Road |
| 88' | ⚽ | Edward Francis · Exeter |
| 90' | 🟨 | Harry Tyrer · Blackpool |
| 90' | ⚽ | James Husband · Blackpool |
| coach days | 13.00 | 714.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 8.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.19 | 3.14 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1524.04 | 1609.67 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -17.49 | -10.37 |
| eye test v1 | 0.40 | -0.26 |
| eye trend v1 | — | -0.24 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.50 | 65.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.69 |
| league points | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.00 | 75.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.75 | 55.40 |
| rest days | 14.10 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 0.50 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 7.20 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.00 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.32 | 0.17 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | — | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.25 | 3.80 |
| state index | -0.23 | 0.21 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.66 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 10) | — | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |