← EFL League One 2024-25 · Sat, Sep 14, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: A. Herczeg
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wycombe win | 41% | 2.38 |
| Northampton win | 31% | 3.20 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.34 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Northampton +0.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Wycombe +0.25 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.79 |
| Over | 46% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | 🟨 | Jack Grimmer · Wycombe |
| 4' | ⚽ (pen) | Sam Hoskins · Northampton |
| 11' | ⚽ | Daniel Udoh · Wycombe |
| 43' | 🟨 | Patrick Brough · Northampton |
| 52' | ⚽ | Richard Kone · Wycombe |
| 61' | 🟨 | Josh Scowen · Wycombe |
| 86' | 🟨 | Franco Ravizzoli · Wycombe |
| 90' | 🟨 | Tariqe Fosu-Henry · Northampton |
| 90' | 🟨 | Beryly Lubala · Wycombe |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 5 | Shots | 14 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 10 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Northampton | Wycombe |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | — |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.48 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| venue | Sixfields Stadium |
| coach days |
| 1321.00 |
| 591.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.51 | 2.55 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1598.81 | 1561.21 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.56 | -2.68 |
| eye test v1 | -0.05 | -0.26 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.49 | — |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 48.90 | 52.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.88 |
| league points | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 65.00 | 67.75 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.60 | 45.00 |
| rest days | 13.90 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.25 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | -1.35 | -1.20 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 7.50 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | — |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.00 |
| state index | 0.31 | 0.13 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.85 | -0.81 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | — |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |