← EFL League One 2024-25 · Sat, Sep 14, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: M. Coy
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mansfield win | 53% | 1.81 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.96 |
| Cambridge win | 23% | 4.33 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cambridge −0.75 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Mansfield −0.75 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.70 |
| Under | 43% | 2.23 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 39' | ⚽ | Lee Gregory · Mansfield |
| 44' | 🟨 | Lee Gregory · Mansfield |
| 45' | 🟨 | Korey Smith · Cambridge |
| 50' | ⚽ | Emmanuel Longelo · Cambridge |
| 68' | ⚽ | Lee Gregory · Mansfield |
| 70' | 🟨 | Zeno Ibsen Rossi · Cambridge |
| 89' | 🟨 | Paul Digby · Cambridge |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 16 |
| 6 | On target | 5 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 13 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mansfield | Cambridge |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.52 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| venue | One Call Stadium |
| coach days | 1413.00 | 197.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.21 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.46 | 2.31 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1613.18 | 1510.63 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -13.36 | -21.62 |
| eye test v1 | -0.47 | 0.61 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.26 | -0.25 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.50 | 64.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.83 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.59 |
| league points | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 10.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.20 | 70.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.40 | 45.00 |
| rest days | 13.90 | 13.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | — |
| season ppg | 1.25 | 0.25 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -8.80 | -3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 9.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.24 | -0.97 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.80 |
| state index | -0.08 | -0.48 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.74 | -0.67 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |