β EFL League One 2024-25 Β· Sat, Sep 7, 02:00 PM UTC Β· ref: A. Chilowicz
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wrexham win | 67% | 1.44 |
| Draw | 19% | 5.00 |
| Shrewsbury win | 14% | 7.50 |
across 3 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Shrewsbury β1.25 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Wrexham β1.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.61 |
| Under | 40% | 2.40 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | π¨ | Malvind Benning Β· Shrewsbury |
| 15' | β½ | Ollie Palmer Β· Wrexham |
| 28' | π¨ | James McClean Β· Wrexham |
| 35' | π¨ | George Dobson Β· Wrexham |
| 42' | β½ | Elliot Lee Β· Wrexham |
| 44' | π¨ | Elliot Lee Β· Wrexham |
| 59' | β½ | Jack Marriott Β· Wrexham |
| 69' | π¨ | Funso Ojo Β· Shrewsbury |
| 76' | π¨ | Carl Winchester Β· Shrewsbury |
| 90' | π¨ | George Lloyd Β· Shrewsbury |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 9 |
| 6 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 7 |
| 12 | Fouls | 15 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Wrexham | Shrewsbury |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | β |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| venue | STΕK Cae Ras |
| coach days | 1164.00 | 250.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.75 | 3.77 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1634.04 | 1605.63 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 43.71 | -57.36 |
| eye test v1 | -0.09 | -0.92 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.22 | β |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.00 | 55.75 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.78 | 1.37 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.83 | 0.62 |
| league points | 10.00 | 3.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 67.20 | 60.25 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 37.00 | 35.50 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | β |
| season ppg | 2.50 | 0.75 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 8.80 |
| skill v1 | -1.77 | -2.50 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 5.25 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | β |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.00 |
| state index | 1.04 | -0.34 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.43 | -1.44 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.33 | β |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.20 |