← EFL League One 2024-25 · Sat, Aug 31, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: B. Atkinson
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Northampton win | 42% | 2.32 |
| Burton win | 31% | 3.20 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.56 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Burton −0.25 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Northampton −0.25 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.93 |
| Under | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | 🟨 | William Hondermarck · Northampton |
| 33' | 🟨 | Tomas Kalinauskas · Burton |
| 34' | 🟨 | Cameron McGeehan · Northampton |
| 34' | 🟨 | Elliot Watt · Burton |
| 43' | 🟨 | Danilo Orsi-Dadomo · Burton |
| 54' | 🟨 | Samy Chouchane · Northampton |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 13 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 11 | Fouls | 9 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Northampton | Burton |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | — |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| venue | Sixfields Stadium |
| coach days |
| 1307.00 |
| 61.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.41 | 3.72 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1599.85 | 1623.62 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.32 | -1.56 |
| eye test v1 | -0.18 | -0.27 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.26 | — |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 46.20 | 66.33 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.76 |
| league points | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 63.20 | 74.33 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.80 | 56.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.10 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.60 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 0.67 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | -1.63 | 0.11 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | — |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.00 |
| state index | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.20 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | — |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |